We always talk about the Internet a lot, and people always come to me and say, "Jerry, what is the big deal about the Internet?" And I always try to tell them with some numbers and statistics of what is happening on the Internet. At the end of 1997, there are about 70 million users on the Internet on the worldwide bases, and by the end of this year it will be over 100 million. And this is from a very rapid growth in 1995. There was less than 30 million people on the Internet, and you can see that in the net last three years it has grown very, very fast and very, very rapidly. The Internet is very interesting because it is a platform for information, for business, for commerce and for content. And this is a very interactive medium. It is the only interactive medium that allows you to do all these things. We have really seen a tremendous growth within the United States on the Internet media. And what we are going to see in the future is that the growth outside of the U.S. is going to be much more rapid, much faster, especially in countries like China, in Asia and in Europe. I have to say how important it is to have an interactive medium because the ability for users like yourself to interact with the Internet to have a dialogue, to experience, is what makes the Internet very, very unique. There is really no other way that can allow you to experience content, commerce and do business like Internet. And this is why I would think that it is very, very important for not only businesses, but also users to get on to Internet and start using it as a way of getting their information and making their life easier.
A lot of people called Yahoo a search engine, and I always have to sort of say that we are more than a search engine. In fact what we have become is a very powerful brand. Over 30 million users on the every month use Yahoo in the United States. We have tremendous amount of recognition and trust. One of the key things that we have established is every time somebody uses Yahoo we call that a page view. Every month we do over two billion page views and that is becoming quite a way of life for a lot of people on Internet. We really appeal to the individual users. We have a lot of people that use Yahoo when they are at work, and we have a lot of people that use Yahoo when they get home at night. And what we are doing is also expanding very rapidly around the world. We have numerous Yahoo versions in Europe, in Asia, in Australia, and we are always expanding, hoping to do more. The key for Yahoo, as many of you know, is a directory structure and its navigational guide. We have over 900,000 Web sites in the US underneath of a few hundreds, thousand categories, and we have over 300 content relationships that we have with major media companies, content companies. And we are always to build, provide users, and consumers, some business solutions to help them find things on their net, to help them shop for something on the Internet, and help them to find information or even other people that they want to contact and communicate with.
A lot of people ask me, "how do you make money?" "What is the business behind Yahoo?" And what are the things we tried to do is have a very partnership-oriented approach. So we have a lot of partners, and our business model is based on the advertising business model. When you use Yahoo you will see a lot of banner advertising that is on top of the pages, and those are paid advertising that we receive for people to display their messages to our users. So this is, I feel, very similar to broadcasting and other kind of media where the user can use the service for free. Many of you know Yahoo is a free product, but we get money from the advertisers who want to reach our users.
Let me talk a little about the history because I am one of the founders along with my partner David. We were both graduate students at Stanford University in 1994 in California, and instead of working on our thesis, we were playing around on the Internet. And one night my partner David started to put together a database of Web sites, maybe in the first time we did this around 200 Web sites. We put it on the Web, on the World Wide Web, and people started to use it. And in the year 1994 we saw from now usage to almost one million users a day coming to Yahoo everyday. Many people ask me how we come up with the name Yahoo. Well, Yahoo, if you look in a dictionary, it means a very rude and uncivilized people from Gulliver's Travels. And so we, my partner and I, said we are a kind of yahoos because we are both very uncivilized. And so we take the name, and says it is easy to remember. And that is how we got the name. We decided to turn into business in 1995, almost one year after we started as a hobby at Stanford. We got some virtual capital, money, and started to get some management, people, senior managers, to help us, and we work very hard at getting advertising revenues, and in one year we were able to build a real business. Several important things happened to us in 1996, historically, because we went public in the Nastaq market in the United States. And we were, became a profitable company in later of that year. And those are very important things for me but also for the industry, because a lot of people didn't believe that (with) Internet you can make money. And we showed that by having a strong brand, a good set of users, a good product, we can be a profitable company.
Here are some more statistics about the Yahoo business. In 1997, last year, we did, in US dollars, about 67 million US dollars. We were able to achieve something that a lot of people cannot do yet on the Internet which is, have a very viable business model. Now we have about 450 other Yahoos around the world where headquartered in Silicon Valley in Santa Clara. And we really believe that our business, the Internet business is a global business, and so we have not only 8 offices in the US, but also have offices in 10 countries around the world.
I want to spend a few minutes and talk about Internet advertising because it is one of those things that people don't often understand -- why it works and how it works. When you build a Web site, when businesses build a Web site, they often have to find a way to get people to know about their Web site. And advertising on the Internet is the best way for people to know about what Web site is where. We have to keep ability of tracking how many people saw the Web site, how many people saw the advertising, and become a very targeted and accountable medium. We can target it based on different geographies, we can target base on different kinds of people. And it is a very, very large market. Many people don't realize, but in the US alone, almost 200 billion dollars a year were spent on advertising. So even if you think about an Internet advertising, so even if it is one percent of overall advertising market, it is a multi-billion-dollar market.
Let me talk a little about that Web advertising market and update on 'Net. In 1997, em, in 1996, the number of dollars spent on the Web was around 270 million US dollars. That is the amount of money that the Web advertisers spent. Last year that number was around 700 million dollars. In 1998, this year, over one billion dollars will be spent on the Web advertising alone. And this is primarily driven out the United States and Western Europe, and some parts of Asia. And we really believe that the growth will continue to double at a very, very rapid rate. In fact, one of the key things I shared with you earlier was that, Yahoo can reach tens of millions of people over the course of a month. And this is becoming as popular a medium as television, newspapers, and magazines. So that we are now competitive in many ways with traditional media advertisement. To give you an example, in last quarter, in the last part of last year, we had over 1,700 advertisers. Over 70 percent of them are consumer brand advertisers, and so not everybody who advertise on the Internet are technology companies, but they could be names you are very familiar with, like Coca Cola, or telephone companies or car companies.
One of the biggest things that happened in 1997 for me was that Electronic Commerce, Internet Commerce, became a possibility. A number of companies in United States became aware and became possible to start doing commerce and transactions, such as shopping, over the Internet. I, for example, myself, did a lot of my Christmas shopping on the Internet because I don't like to go buy things at stores. So I order some pants, one of them I am wearing now, over the Internet. And it was great because I know exactly what size I want it and it showed up online home. The opportunity for Web Commerce is very, very large. In 1997, last year, about 3 billion dollars of merchandise were sold through the Internet in the United States. By the year 2000, that number is going to be over 100 billion dollars. And you can see year by year there is going to be a tremendous amount of transactions that going to happen over the Internet. The Web is very interesting because it allows users themselves to be active. They are the persons that are in charge. And consumers, people who are doing the Web surfing, have a lot of options, and they have the choice. So a lot of people are recognizing that the customers now can have a very important say in what to buy, how to buy it and where to buy it. And as a result many industries in United States are undergoing some very rapid change, because of the buying power on the Web. At least there are some examples here. For example, stocks. People not only look at stock information, but also trade, and buy, and sell stocks electronically through the Web. In fact, there are many very successful companies that are now emerge (emerging) in the United States that all it do (does) is (to) sell stocks over the Web. We work with a partner called Etrade that does exactly that. In the United States now, it is tax season. And for the first time, you can file some of your taxes over the Web. And this is a very convenient way for people to gather information, to understand the laws that have changed about taxes, and now be able to process and sermon your tax forms online. Other applications that are very, very important, are travel, where you can buy airline tickets, book hotels, book rental cars through travel sites; buy books, Amazon.com is a very famous bookstore now on the Web; you can buy computers and software and hardware and accessories through Web -- people, for example, like Dell Computers and Gateway 2000, have created the tremendous opportunity to go directly to the consumers; you can buy music CDs, videos, almost anything you can imagine that you can buy through retail now you are beginning to buy on the Web. I believe that in the United States you will see even more industries change because the way that the Web is so popular and people have ability to conduct commerce at their own pace. They can talk to whoever they want to talk to, (find out,) do some research and then conduct the transaction based on their own behavior rather than having to go to somebody else to buy the merchandise.
So I want to show you this chart because it talks about Yahoo's strategy and where we want to be as a company. We have a lot of content on the Web. Millions of Web sites that are on the top; and on the bottom we have tens of millions, hundreds of millions of users; and in the middle is where Yahoo is focusing our efforts. We develop the technology; we develop the advertise; we develop the business model to help build merchant-consumer commerce services like the ones I talked about taxes, stocks, computing goods. We talk of contents, news, sports. We talk about the directory, that I talked about the aggregation which I call, we call super aggregation and core aggregation. And on the two sides we have two very important elements. The personalization element, which is how do we make the Web, how do we, how do Yahoo help you make the Web more personal. Everybody should have a very unique experience with the Web. You don't have to have the same experience because it is interactive. And we are trying very hard to bring a personalized component to the Web experience. And the other side we have communication. And the key to allow the Web success is the fact not only can you get content from publishers or information sources, you can also communicate through email, through chatting and through messaging that is now become a very big part Web usage in the United States. And we believe by doing these parts well, by helping people find the content need, find the products and services they need, and finding other people that they need to find, we can become a new kind of company that ties together people on the Web.
These are some of the things we offer today on Yahoo site in the United States, and I thought it is useful to list them because a lot of people don't realize all these things are available on Yahoo. A lot of people still think of these at many ways as a navigational guide. I have already mentioned Yahoo Finance. Yahoo Finance is our stock-put and stock-lookup service. Everyday we have over 5 million people that look at us for stock information, news about companies, etc. Score Bodies are sports site where we have real time sports information, so during a ball game, people can look at information on the Web. And of course news, which is one of the most popular, news services on the Web. Nowadays I will give you the example when big news items happen. So many of you know last year Princess Dianna's tragedy. The Web was the first place that had real information about the incident, even before television did. And we believe in many ways, the way people use the Web to find news is going to change the way people get news. We also have a lot of local information in the United States --classifies which is a way of buying and selling things, small things, for yourselves; yellow pages which is way to find businesses; maps where you can actually get driving directions or find out where the place is. These services are all available on the Web through Yahoo. We talked about international. We have ten countries. I didn't have time to list them all here, but, France, Germany, Yahoo UK, Yahoo Japan, Yahoo Canada, Yahoo Asia in Singapore, Yahoo Australia, and numerous others. We also have designed some Yahoo services around demographics. So for example, Yahooligan is our service for kids, and we have also a version for Yahoo seniors for people who are over the age of 65. My Yahoo is a personalized service. We have some happened event, guide. We will tell you what is everything going on on the Web. And on the last bullet I talk about the communication services that we offer. Yahoo Mail, Yahoo Pager, which sends messages to each other, and Yahoo message board where you can post and read what other people say about certain topics.
Because we are, because I am in China and because I am in Asia, I want to talk a little about the global aspect of Yahoo. And I want to talk about Yahoo Japan as a kind of case that you want me to show with you. A lot of people tell me, you know, that the problem with the Internet, the biggest problem of the Internet is language and culture. You know, my locution is still so much dominated by English and dominated by American language and American culture. I agree with that. One of the first things we did as a company was to establish a joint venture in Japan. We did this in April 1996, while even Yahoo is very, very young. We started in Japan because it is a very interesting market. At that time it was already becoming a very big Internet user base, and also the language is obviously very different. We had to build the site from Japanese. Almost from the date we launched we became the most popular Web site in Japan. Now we are one of the most dominant Web-based businesses in Japan. In fact we took the company public on the Japan's stock exchange in last November. And we also help develop the Internet advertising business in Japan. And I honestly believe that by focusing on building around the culture and building around the language of the audience, we can duplicate the Yahoo model no matter where we go. And in fact we have done that as well in Europe and Canada, Singapore, etc.
One of the key things that makes me very excited about the China market is because that I believe the Chinese Web market is going to have a very, very huge potential in the future. Part of my trip, here is to learn more about China market, and learn about the Internet developments in China. And I have learned a tremendous amount. And I have increasing hope that there are so many things that the Chinese Web can do that is unique to China as a market, and to China as a language, and China as a culture. What is happening today, as many of you know, is the number of Internet users in China is increasing at such a rapid rate. Almost every month I hear the number is getting larger and larger. Just recently we understand that there is officially over 600,000 subscribers on the Internet in China, and unofficially that number may be even higher. We believe that there are significant efforts that are beginning to develop so that good content is being developed. And we think that the potential for developing advertising-based, commerce-based, free service is very, very large.
I want to talk a little bit about as the local market, as a China market, what are the keys to grow this market going forward. The first thing that we look at, I try to understand, is how many personal computers will be sold that can allow people to get on the Internet. And in China that number is growing at a very, very rapid rate. I understand that by 1998 over 5 million PCs will be sold in China and all of them can get on the Internet. The using that I think is key to growing a business which we have seen in every market that we have been in is being able to provide cheap, affordable access to the Internet for consumers. And not only the services should be cheap and affordable but also they need to be reliable and fast. And to do that a lot of times these access businesses need to be somehow driven by profitability, and somehow being able to be a real business demo online. And I think China as a whole is going through that investment stage where a lot of money needs to be invested in building all the infrastructure and attracting subscribers to get on the Internet. The third thing we see as a key to growth in any market is the ability to have software tools that help you put information on the Web, design information on the Web and change information on the Web. And those software tools are what people (that) have built in the United States that drove very, very rapid growth. In the United States for content and commerce, and I hope in China as well there will be significant efforts to build out a set of tools, a set of software, a set of technology, that help you build content commerce applications for the Web. The fourth thing that is very important for a viable Web medium model is the creative community, so people who can help you design Web sites and can help you design concepts and help you understand how to use these Web sites, to help your marketing, to help your users, to (help you) give you better experience. And these people are very much needed in order to develop compiling, competitive quality, content experience. And lastly which is probably the most important thing is that businesses, governments, education, people in the community, people in the society, have to feel like the Web is a key part of how to grow as a country, as an economy, and to be competitive. I will give you an example in the United States. The government in the early 1990s decided that they need an interactive infrastructure to grow the economy in the country, and they had invested in all kinds of different things and, you know, vice president Al Gore calls it a National Information Infrastructure - NII. And the Internet in many ways became that National Information Infrastructure for the United States. And I believe not only the government had intense interest in building out Internet as a way as communications, that education sector, the colleges, the public schools, the most importantly the business community. It is very hard to find a company now in the United States that doesn't have a wide presence or even doing some business on the Web. And without businesses endorsing, the Web as a way of doing businesses is tough to have a viable industry.
I think when I end the talking about the future a little bit. One of the key challenges as we see is being able to continue to monitor how the telecommunications industry is being opened up and deregulated for competition. Still in many parts of the world outside United States, the cost for telephone lines and for telephone access to the Internet is still very, very expensive. And most of it is still based on usage. So if you use so many hours you have to pay for so much. And in the US the move has been made to a flat pricing where the pricing is based on unlimited usage. We think that in order for the Web to develop more mature and faster, the telecommunication companies around the world need to have more competition and have lower rates in order to make it affordable and also make it accessible for users. The Web is still a very much (a) young medium, it has only been around for a couple of years. There are a lot of issues with security, and reliability, and being able to protect sensitive data, being able to provide a safe environment. It is very, very important. The top two issues right now in America for Web usage is how to protect children, how to make it a safe place for people to use the Web, and also how to protect the privacy of users. And those two things, I think, are very large problems that are being addressed. And I think in anywhere that the Web goes, anywhere that the Web industry wants to go, we need to help address the security issues, and help address the content issues, and make it a safer and safer place. One of the things that I think is very interesting in the future is that the way you can access the Internet is going to be very different from different places, and what I call multiple ways of accessing the Internet. Today primarily the access to the Internet is done through telephone lines, released lines. But I think in the future there are tremendous technologies that can enable people to access the Internet through wireless ways, through satellites, through cable, and of course, through different pass phones on telephone lines. And to me to build have, the Internet access in its many different ways as possible as very, very important because sooner rather than later, people are going to feel like the Internet is not some special places they have to go to. It is going to be something you use almost as frequently and without thinking as the telephone. And people don't think about going to the telephone like they think about going to the Internet today. Eventually the Internet has to become more ubiquitous and to do that it needs to be a better way, a better access method, for. Another big issue for the future is the bandwidth issue. And too often I hear people complaining that it is too slow on the Internet. It takes too long to download anything. And yes, those are major issues. And I know there are huge initiatives around the world that will increase bandwidth, that will allow people to design things that you can interact very fast. And I hope that the bandwidth keeps getting better, because the more bandwidth there is , the more ways in which people can develop the tools.
Lastly I want to talk about the migration of primarily information medium into a kind of commerce medium, a community medium. You know a lot of people think about the Internet in the future. And one of the things I think needs to happen is, maybe it is not only a computer-oriented tool, maybe it is not too far of the future, that you can access the Internet on your TV, on your watch, maybe on your microwave oven. Somewhere and everywhere you can somehow get into the Internet. And in that point it really isn't about what content you have on the Internet. It is really about how you can communicate with other people effectively and how can you do business effectively. And in order for the Internet survive around the world and in China, it needs to be not only a content medium, but also needs to be a business medium. People need to build to have value that are improved, their lives made better because of the Internet.
我們總是大量地談?wù)?Internet,人們也總來問我:“Jerry,什么是 Internet 的大交易?”我總是試圖告訴他們一些有關(guān) Internet 的統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)。在 1997 年年底,全球范圍內(nèi)有 7000 萬 Internet 用戶,到今年年底,這個(gè)數(shù)字將突破 1 億。這種快速的增長(zhǎng)從 1995 年便已開始,當(dāng)時(shí) Internet 用戶只有 3000 萬,你們可以看到在過去三年 Internet 用戶的增長(zhǎng)非常非常迅速。Internet 非常有趣,因?yàn)樗且环N非常廣泛的平臺(tái),包括信息、交易、商業(yè)和娛樂,同時(shí)還是一種非常交互的媒體。它也是允許你做所有這些事情的唯一交互式媒體。我們已確實(shí)看到了 Internet 媒體在美國的巨大增長(zhǎng)。并且我們看到未來在美國之外的增長(zhǎng)將會(huì)更加迅速,特別是在中國,在亞洲還有歐洲。我得說一種交互式的媒體對(duì)于我們來說非常重要,因?yàn)檫@樣一種媒體允許你與之對(duì)話,而正是這種體驗(yàn)使得 Internet 非常非常特別。確實(shí)沒有其它的途徑使你能夠得到在 Internet 上的這種娛樂、商業(yè)和交易方式。這就是為什么我覺得 Internet 如此重要,不僅是對(duì)于商業(yè),它還可以使用戶們上網(wǎng)后得到他們所需的信息,生活更為舒適。
很多人把 Yahoo 稱作搜索引擎,我卻要說我們不僅僅是搜索引擎。事實(shí)上我們已經(jīng)成為一個(gè)非常強(qiáng)大的品牌,在美國每個(gè)月有超過 3000 萬的用戶使用 Yahoo。我們廣為人知并值得信賴。我們把每一次用戶對(duì) Yahoo 的使用稱作一次“page view”。每個(gè)月我們有超過 20 億次的“page view”,這已經(jīng)差不多成為許多網(wǎng)上用戶的生活方式了。我們對(duì)于個(gè)人用戶極具吸引力。我們不僅擁有許多用戶在工作時(shí)使用 Yahoo,還有許多人晚上在家里使用 Yahoo,而我們正在做的是向全球范圍迅速擴(kuò)張。我們?cè)跉W洲、亞洲、澳大利亞有很多版本的 Yahoo,我們一直在擴(kuò)張,并且希望能夠做得更多。你們很多人都知道,Yahoo 的關(guān)鍵是它的目錄結(jié)構(gòu)和瀏覽指南。在上十萬個(gè)類別下我們有 90 多萬個(gè)美國網(wǎng)點(diǎn)。我們與主要的媒體公司及信息公司有超過 300 個(gè)的合作信息關(guān)系。我們一直在為用戶和消費(fèi)者建造并提供一些商業(yè)能力,幫助他們?cè)诰W(wǎng)上找到所需的東西,并進(jìn)行網(wǎng)上購物。我們還幫助他們尋找信息甚至是他們想聯(lián)系的人。
許多人問我:“你們?nèi)绾钨嶅X?”“Yahoo 背后的商業(yè)機(jī)制是什么?”我們極力去做的是建立面向 Internet 訪問的廣泛合作關(guān)系。我們有許多合作伙伴,我們商業(yè)模式的基礎(chǔ)是廣告商業(yè)模式。當(dāng)你使用 Yahoo 的時(shí)候,在頁面的頂端你會(huì)看到很多廣告,那些是收費(fèi)廣告,我們要把他們的廣告詞顯示給我們的用戶。因此我想這與廣播或其它媒體是類似的,用戶都是免費(fèi)得到服務(wù)。大家都知道 Yahoo 是免費(fèi)使用,但是我們要從廣告客戶哪里賺取利潤(rùn)。
我與合伙人 David 一起創(chuàng)建了 Yahoo,現(xiàn)在我來談一談我們的發(fā)展歷史吧。我們?cè)?1994 年都是 Stanford 大學(xué)的研究生,我們沒有專注于論文而是在 Internet 上暢游。有一天晚上我的伙伴 David 把一些網(wǎng)址集中到一個(gè)數(shù)據(jù)庫內(nèi),第一次大概有 200 個(gè)網(wǎng)點(diǎn)。然后我們把它放到 WWW 網(wǎng)上,就有人開始使用它。在 1994 年大概每天都有 100 萬用戶訪問 Yahoo。很多人問我 Yahoo 的名稱是如何得來的。在字典上,Yahoo 的意思是粗魯而未開化的人,是從《格列佛游記》中得到的。我們把自己稱作 Yahoo,因?yàn)槲覀冋J(rèn)為我們自己就是 Yahoo。而且它還很容易記,這樣我們就把它當(dāng)作了我們的名字。開始,我們?cè)?Stanford 還只是把它作為業(yè)余愛好,一年后,在 1995 年我們決定投入商業(yè)運(yùn)作。我們搞到一些錢作資本,并找到一些管理人員來幫我們。為了得到廣告收入,我們工作非常努力,在一年內(nèi)我們便有能力形成真正的業(yè)務(wù)。1996 年發(fā)生了一些非常重要的事,我們開始在美國 Netherdeck 上市,那年晚些時(shí)候我們便成為一個(gè)盈利公司。這些事不僅僅對(duì)我們自己很重要,對(duì)整個(gè)業(yè)界也很重要,因?yàn)楹芏嗳瞬幌嘈拍軌蛲ㄟ^ Internet 賺錢。但我們做到了這一點(diǎn),我們擁有強(qiáng)大的品牌、大量的用戶以及很好的產(chǎn)品。
這兒還有一些關(guān)于 Yahoo 的統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)字。在 1997 年,我們的收入達(dá)到 6700 萬美元。我們做到了很多人在 Internet 上還做不到的事情,建立了一個(gè)可行的商業(yè)模式。現(xiàn)在我們?cè)谌澜缬屑s 450 個(gè) Yahoo,總部設(shè)在 Santa Clara 的硅谷。我們相信我們的 Internet 業(yè)務(wù)是全球性的業(yè)務(wù)。因此我們不僅在美國有 8 個(gè)分部,而且還在全世界 10 個(gè)國家擁有分部。
我想用幾分鐘談?wù)?Internet 廣告,因?yàn)檫@是人們常常不能理解的 -- 為什么它可行又是如何可行的?當(dāng)商業(yè)公司建立網(wǎng)點(diǎn)時(shí),他們常常要想辦法讓別人知道他們的站點(diǎn)。Internet 廣告正是要告訴人們網(wǎng)點(diǎn)的位置。我們要了解有多少人訪問了網(wǎng)點(diǎn),有多少人看到了廣告,這便形成了一種目標(biāo)明確且可以信賴的媒介。我們不僅可以按不同地理位置定位,還可以按不同類別的人定位。這是一個(gè)很多人都未認(rèn)識(shí)到的非常非常大的市場(chǎng),僅僅在美國,一年就幾乎有 2000 億美元花費(fèi)在廣告上,即使 Internet 廣告只占 1% 的市場(chǎng)份額,那也是一個(gè)數(shù)十億美元的市場(chǎng)。
下面我來談一下網(wǎng)絡(luò)廣告及其最新情況。在 1996 年,網(wǎng)絡(luò)上的廣告費(fèi)用約為 2.7 億美元。去年這個(gè)數(shù)目達(dá)到約 7 億美元。在 1998 年網(wǎng)絡(luò)廣告費(fèi)用將會(huì)超過 10 億,這主要是由美國、西歐和亞洲部分地區(qū)所帶動(dòng)的。我們相信增長(zhǎng)還將會(huì)迅速翻倍。事實(shí)上,Yahoo 的關(guān)鍵是每個(gè)月能接觸到上千萬的用戶。它正逐漸成為象電視、報(bào)紙和雜志一樣的大眾媒體。我們?cè)诤芏喾矫婺軌蚺c傳統(tǒng)媒體廣告競(jìng)爭(zhēng)。例如,在去年的最后一個(gè)季度,我們廣告客戶超過 1700 個(gè),其中 70% 是消費(fèi)類品牌,因此并不是只有技術(shù)公司在Internet 上做廣告。它們都是些大家很熟悉的公司,例如可口可樂公司、電話公司或者是汽車公司。
在 1997 年對(duì)我們來說最大的一件事是電子商務(wù),或者說 Internet 商務(wù)成為可能。相當(dāng)多的美國產(chǎn)業(yè)逐漸意識(shí)到了這一點(diǎn)并開始在 Internet 上從事購物之類的商業(yè)貿(mào)易活動(dòng)。例如,我的很多圣誕采購就是通過 Internet 進(jìn)行的,因?yàn)槲也幌矚g在商店里購物。我定購了一些褲子,其中就包括我現(xiàn)在穿的這一條。當(dāng)然,我之所以能夠通過 Internet 購物,也是因?yàn)槲抑牢宜枰拇_切尺寸而且它可以在線展示。網(wǎng)絡(luò)商務(wù)的機(jī)會(huì)是非常非常巨大的。1997 年在美國約有 30 億美元的貨物是通過 Internet 售出的。到 2000 年,這個(gè)數(shù)目將會(huì)超過 1000 億美元。你會(huì)看到網(wǎng)絡(luò)上的交易量將會(huì)一年比一年大。網(wǎng)絡(luò)之所以如此有趣,是因?yàn)橛脩粼谒厦媸侵鲃?dòng)的。在網(wǎng)絡(luò)上沖浪的人擁有大量選擇余地,他們有很多機(jī)會(huì)。很多人都認(rèn)識(shí)到,現(xiàn)在消費(fèi)者對(duì)購買什么、如何購買以及在那兒購買擁有更大的發(fā)言權(quán)。因此,美國許多產(chǎn)業(yè)正在進(jìn)行一些非常迅速的改變,其原因正是網(wǎng)絡(luò)上的購買力。例如股票,人們不僅在網(wǎng)上了解股票信息,而且進(jìn)行電子交易,通過網(wǎng)絡(luò)買賣股票。事實(shí)上,美國現(xiàn)在出現(xiàn)的許多非常成功的公司所做的其實(shí)就是通過網(wǎng)絡(luò)銷售股票。我們的一個(gè)合作伙伴 E-trade 就是這樣。美國現(xiàn)在正是收稅的季節(jié),今年是第一次你可以通過網(wǎng)絡(luò)繳納一些稅費(fèi)。這對(duì)于人們收集信息,了解有關(guān)稅收法律改變情況非常方便。你可以通過網(wǎng)絡(luò)處理并填寫稅收表格。其它一些非常重要的應(yīng)用包括,旅行方面 -- 你可以通過旅行網(wǎng)點(diǎn)購買機(jī)票、預(yù)定旅店和預(yù)定租車;購買書籍 -- ArmazondaCom 便是一家非常有名的網(wǎng)上書店;你還可以通過網(wǎng)絡(luò)購買計(jì)算機(jī)、軟件、硬件及附件,例如 Dell 計(jì)算機(jī)公司和 Gateway 2000 便創(chuàng)造了許多直接面向消費(fèi)者的機(jī)會(huì);你還可以購買音樂 CD 和錄象制品??傊?,幾乎你想象中所有可以通過零售渠道購買的東西現(xiàn)在都可以在網(wǎng)上購買。我相信在美國還會(huì)有更多的產(chǎn)業(yè)進(jìn)行轉(zhuǎn)變,因?yàn)榫W(wǎng)絡(luò)方式是如此的受歡迎,人們有能力以自己的方式來引導(dǎo)商業(yè)。他們還可以與任何需要的人交談,進(jìn)行一些調(diào)查,然后以他們自己的行為來引導(dǎo)交易而不再需要去找什么人購買商品。
我給大家展示這個(gè)圖表是因?yàn)樗枋隽?Yahoo 的戰(zhàn)略以及我們的公司將向哪里去。我們?cè)诰W(wǎng)上有很多信息。最頂層有數(shù)百萬網(wǎng)點(diǎn),在最低層我們有數(shù)以億計(jì)的用戶,而這中間正是我們努力之所在。我們開發(fā)技術(shù),發(fā)展廣告,我們還建立了一種商業(yè)模式以提供面向消費(fèi)者的商業(yè)服務(wù)。正象我前面所說的稅收、股票或計(jì)算機(jī)產(chǎn)品那樣,我們談到娛樂、新聞、體育,我們討論目錄,我們還討論稱之為超級(jí)集合 (aggregation) 和核心集合的東西。在這兩方面我們有兩條非常重要的因素。個(gè)性化因素,這是指我們使你的網(wǎng)絡(luò)更具個(gè)性化。每個(gè)人在網(wǎng)絡(luò)方面都有各自不同的經(jīng)歷,你不必與別人相同,因?yàn)榫W(wǎng)絡(luò)是交互式的,我們正在努力把個(gè)性化成分帶給你的網(wǎng)絡(luò)經(jīng)歷。另一方面,是通信能力。你不僅可以從出版商或有關(guān)消息來源得到一些內(nèi)容,還可以通過 email、聊天及訊息進(jìn)行通信,這些在美國要占網(wǎng)絡(luò)使用的很大一部分,而正是這些使得網(wǎng)絡(luò)取得成功。我們相信只要我們把這部分做好,即幫助人們找到所需的內(nèi)容如產(chǎn)品、服務(wù)或他所要找的其他人,我們就能夠成為一種在網(wǎng)上與人們緊密相連的新型公司。
下面是我們目前在美國 Yahoo 站點(diǎn)上提供的一些服務(wù),因?yàn)橛泻芏嗳瞬]有意識(shí)到在 Yahoo 上可以得到這些,所以我認(rèn)為列出它們是有用的。仍然有很多人將這些服務(wù)作為導(dǎo)航工具使用。我已經(jīng)談到過 Yahoo Finance。Yahoo Finance 的內(nèi)容是股票交易和股票查詢。每天我們有超過五百萬人在看我們提供的股票信息及公司新聞等等。Score Bodies 是一個(gè)體育運(yùn)動(dòng)站點(diǎn),我們?cè)谀抢锾峁?shí)時(shí)的體育信息,所以當(dāng)球賽進(jìn)行的時(shí)候,人們就可以在網(wǎng)絡(luò)上實(shí)時(shí)看到消息。當(dāng)然還包括現(xiàn)在最流行的網(wǎng)絡(luò)新聞服務(wù)?,F(xiàn)在我給你們舉一個(gè)新聞焦點(diǎn)事件發(fā)生的例子。很多人都知道去年 Dianna 王妃的悲劇。網(wǎng)絡(luò)是第一個(gè)實(shí)時(shí)提供有關(guān)車禍信息的地方,甚至比電視都早。同時(shí)我們相信,人們通過網(wǎng)絡(luò)查找新聞將逐漸改變?nèi)藗兤渌脑S多種獲得新聞的方式。我們?cè)诿绹呀?jīng)有很多本地信息服務(wù),交易方式的分類對(duì)你來說是一件小事,通過黃頁你可以找到商業(yè)機(jī)會(huì);通過得到的地圖你能夠搞清楚駕車方向或找到要去的地方。這些服務(wù)都可以通過 Yahoo 在網(wǎng)上得到。
我們?cè)撜務(wù)剣H上的情況了。我們?cè)谑畟€(gè)國家開展業(yè)務(wù),由于時(shí)間有限我不能一一列出,象法國、德國、英國、日本、加拿大、新加坡、澳大利亞以及其它的一些國家都有 Yahoo。我們也針對(duì)不同的人群設(shè)計(jì)了 Yahoo 業(yè)務(wù),例如 Yahooligan 是為兒童提供的;Yahooseniors 是專為65歲以上的人設(shè)計(jì)的;My-Yahoo 是針對(duì)個(gè)人的服務(wù)。我們記錄了很多發(fā)生過的事情,我們會(huì)告訴你在在網(wǎng)絡(luò)上發(fā)生的每一件事。最后我要談?wù)勎覀兲峁┑耐ㄓ崢I(yè)務(wù),有可以互相發(fā)送信息的 Yahoo Mail 和 Yahoo Pager ; Yahoo 留言板,在它上面你可以發(fā)表(觀點(diǎn))及閱讀其他人關(guān)于特定題目的言論。
由于我現(xiàn)在是在中國,在亞洲,所以我想談一些關(guān)于 Yahoo 的國際方面的情況。作為你們希望我展示的一個(gè)例子,我想談?wù)?Yahoo Japan 。很多人對(duì)我說, Internet 上的問題,最重要的問題,就是語言和文化 -- 你們知道,我的語言風(fēng)格就仍然為英語所統(tǒng)治,或者說是為美國語言和文化所統(tǒng)治。我同意上面的觀點(diǎn)。作為一個(gè)公司,我們最初所做的聯(lián)合風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資之一便是在日本。那是在 1996 年 4 月,盡管當(dāng)時(shí) Yahoo 還非常非常年輕。我們從日本開始是因?yàn)檫@是一個(gè)令人非常感興趣的市場(chǎng)。那時(shí)日本已經(jīng)有非常多的 Internet 用戶,語言也是如此的不同,我們必須建立一個(gè)日語站點(diǎn)。幾乎是與此同時(shí),我們就成為日本最受歡迎的網(wǎng)點(diǎn)?,F(xiàn)在我們?cè)谌毡疽呀?jīng)成為最具統(tǒng)治性的網(wǎng)絡(luò)商業(yè)公司之一。事實(shí)上去年十一月我們的股票便已在日本上市。我們還在日本幫助發(fā)展 Internet 廣告商業(yè)。所以我完全相信,通過按照用戶的文化和語言建立站點(diǎn),無論我們到了哪里,我們都可以克隆 Yahoo 模式。事實(shí)上在歐洲、加拿大和新加坡我們都獲得了成功。
中國市場(chǎng)的一個(gè)關(guān)鍵因素使我非常興奮,我相信中國的 Web 市場(chǎng)在未來將會(huì)有非常非常巨大的潛力。我這次旅程的成果之一就是,在這里我更加了解了中國市場(chǎng),了解了 Internet 在中國的發(fā)展。我真的了解了很多,所以我的信心在增加。中國的 Web 有很多的事情可以去做,因?yàn)樵谥袊鵁o論是市場(chǎng)、語言或是文化都是獨(dú)一無二的。而現(xiàn)在正在發(fā)生些什么呢,正如你所知道的,在中國 Internet 的用戶數(shù)目正在迅速增長(zhǎng),幾乎每個(gè)月我都所聽說用戶數(shù)量變得越來越大。就在最近我們了解到官方統(tǒng)計(jì)的 Internet 用戶已達(dá)60萬,而在官方統(tǒng)計(jì)之外的用戶數(shù)字可能更大。我們正在做出重要的努力以發(fā)展網(wǎng)絡(luò)的容量。同時(shí)我們還看到網(wǎng)絡(luò)廣告、網(wǎng)絡(luò)貿(mào)易和免費(fèi)服務(wù)的發(fā)展?jié)摿κ欠浅7浅>薮蟮摹?
我想談一談中國這個(gè)市場(chǎng),什么是它繼續(xù)前進(jìn)的關(guān)鍵因素呢。從我自己的角度看,首先是我希望了解,到底會(huì)賣出多少臺(tái)個(gè)人電腦,才能使人們可以步入 Internet?,F(xiàn)在中國這個(gè)數(shù)字正在非常迅速的增長(zhǎng)。我知道在 1998 年中國將銷售超過 5 百萬臺(tái)的 PC 機(jī),而且所有這些都可以接入 Internet。我認(rèn)為,PC 機(jī)的使用是我們所見的每一個(gè)市場(chǎng)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)鍵因素,這樣我們才有可能向消費(fèi)者提供廉價(jià)且承受得起的 Internet 接入。
同時(shí)不僅是服務(wù)要廉價(jià)和承受得起,而且它們要可靠而快速。很多情況下,提供這些接入服務(wù)的公司必須能夠盈利,成為真正的商業(yè)公司,才能做到以上這幾點(diǎn)。我認(rèn)為,中國正在全面經(jīng)歷一個(gè)投資階段,此時(shí)需要大量的投資以建設(shè)整個(gè)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施并吸引用戶進(jìn)入 Internet。
我們看到的任何市場(chǎng)發(fā)展的第三個(gè)關(guān)鍵因素是軟件工具的能力,這些軟件幫助你將信息放到網(wǎng)上、在網(wǎng)上設(shè)計(jì)信息并在網(wǎng)上修改。這樣的軟件工具在美國已經(jīng)應(yīng)用了,并推動(dòng)了網(wǎng)絡(luò)信息和貿(mào)易的快速發(fā)展。因此我希望中國也能夠作出足夠的努力,推出整套的工具、軟件和技術(shù),以建立網(wǎng)絡(luò)信息及商業(yè)應(yīng)用。
第四件對(duì)可行的 Web 媒體模式非常重要的是創(chuàng)造性人群,這些人能夠幫助你設(shè)計(jì)站點(diǎn)、設(shè)計(jì)概念并幫助你如何使用這些站點(diǎn)來為你的市場(chǎng)、用戶服務(wù),他們還能幫助你得到更好的經(jīng)驗(yàn)。這些人對(duì)于發(fā)展競(jìng)爭(zhēng)質(zhì)量和信息經(jīng)驗(yàn)是必需的。
最后也可能最重要的是讓企業(yè)、政府、教育單位、社團(tuán)成員以及社會(huì)各階層都能夠感到網(wǎng)絡(luò)是國家經(jīng)濟(jì)和競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力增長(zhǎng)的一個(gè)關(guān)鍵因素。我要講一下美國的例子。在九十年代早期,政府就確定他們需要一個(gè)交互式的基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施以促進(jìn)國家經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng),于是他們向所需的各方面投資,這就是副總統(tǒng)戈?duì)査f的國家信息基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施(NII)。由此 Internet 在很大程度上便成為美國的 NII。同時(shí)我相信不僅是政府在建立 Internet 方面有很大的興趣,以作通信之用,而且作為教育機(jī)構(gòu)的大學(xué)、公立學(xué)院以及主要的企業(yè)團(tuán)體也是這樣?,F(xiàn)在已經(jīng)很難找出哪個(gè)美國公司不在網(wǎng)上經(jīng)常出現(xiàn)或在網(wǎng)上進(jìn)行交易。并且不需企業(yè)簽字的交易在網(wǎng)上已經(jīng)成為一個(gè)可行的產(chǎn)業(yè)。
在結(jié)束之前,我想談一談我們的未來。我們所見的一個(gè)關(guān)鍵挑戰(zhàn)是,如何使我們的通信產(chǎn)業(yè)變得更加開放并自由競(jìng)爭(zhēng)。在美國之外的很多地方,電話線和電話接入 Internet 的費(fèi)用依舊非常非常昂貴,而且其中大多數(shù)還是面向時(shí)間的。因此你用了多少小時(shí),就要相應(yīng)付多少錢。而在美國你可以無限制的使用,卻只繳納相同的費(fèi)用。我們認(rèn)為為了讓網(wǎng)絡(luò)發(fā)展得更加成熟和快速,世界上的通信公司都應(yīng)該更具有競(jìng)爭(zhēng)性,降低費(fèi)用以使網(wǎng)絡(luò)可以被用戶承受得起。
網(wǎng)絡(luò)仍然是一個(gè)非常年輕的媒體,大約僅僅有幾年的歷史,這里有很多的安全和可靠性問題,例如:如何保護(hù)敏感數(shù)據(jù)、提供安全環(huán)境等等,這些都非常非常重要。在美國關(guān)于網(wǎng)絡(luò)最重要的問題是:如何保護(hù)兒童;如何保證使用網(wǎng)絡(luò)的人們處于一個(gè)安全的環(huán)境;以及如何保護(hù)用戶的個(gè)人秘密。這些事,我認(rèn)為,無論我們處于哪里、網(wǎng)絡(luò)通到哪里以及網(wǎng)絡(luò)產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展到哪里都是非常大的問題。我們得解決安全問題、解決內(nèi)容問題,以創(chuàng)造一個(gè)越來越安全的網(wǎng)絡(luò)。
關(guān)于未來我想到一個(gè)非常有趣的事:我們將從不同的地方以不同的形式接入 Internet ,這就是我所稱的多種方式 Internet 接入。今天首選的接入 Internet 的方式是通過電話和租用線。但是我認(rèn)為在將來,人們可以利用大量的技術(shù)以不同的方式接入 Internet -- 通過無線方式、衛(wèi)星、電纜接入到 Internet,當(dāng)然還可以通過不同的電話接入 Internet。
正如我指出的那樣,通過不同的方式接入 Internet 是非常非常重要的,因?yàn)轳R上人們就會(huì)覺得 Internet 不再是什么特殊的所在,它將成為你不用多加考慮的、非常頻繁使用的東西 -- 就象電話機(jī)一樣。現(xiàn)在的人們對(duì)電話的看法和對(duì) Internet 的看法是很不一樣。最終 Internet 會(huì)變得更加普及,而為了做到這點(diǎn),需要一個(gè)更好的途徑、一個(gè)更好的接入方法。
另一個(gè)將來要面對(duì)的大問題是帶寬的問題。我總是聽到人們?cè)诒г?Internet 的速度太慢,不管從它上面下載什么東西都要花費(fèi)太多的時(shí)間。我同意這是一個(gè)重要問題。我知道在世界上有好多人都在努力提高網(wǎng)絡(luò)帶寬,以使人們可以設(shè)計(jì)快速交互的網(wǎng)絡(luò)。我希望帶寬將變得更寬,因?yàn)閹捲綄?,人們開發(fā)各種工具的方法就越多。
最后我想談?wù)勗械男畔⒚襟w向一種商業(yè)媒體、共有媒體轉(zhuǎn)變的問題。有很多人,包括我,都認(rèn)為有一件事是一定會(huì)發(fā)生的,未來的 Internet 不再僅僅是一個(gè)面向計(jì)算機(jī)的工具了?;蛟S就在不久的將來,你將可以通過 TV、手表甚至是微波爐接入 Internet,你在哪兒都可以接入。從這一點(diǎn)上看,問題就不再僅僅是從 Internet 可以得到什么信息了,實(shí)際上問題將是如何通過 Internet 有效地與其他人聯(lián)系、有效地開展商業(yè)活動(dòng)了。為使 Internet 在全世界、在中國存在下去,Internet 必須不僅應(yīng)該是一個(gè)信息的媒體,而且應(yīng)該成為商業(yè)媒體。Internet 將提高人們生活的價(jià)值,將使人們的生活變得更加美好。